Giới Thiệu · S&P 500 Forecast Advanced
Accurately forecasted US stocks based on valuation, except during brief periods of news-driven volatility, after which, the stock market quickly recovered to the forecast valuation.
The 10-year forecast is calculated by a value-based algorithm, and so far it has 91% correlation in the long-term, but in the short-term the news whipsawed the stock market, and by definition news can't be predicted. https://www.valuewalk.com/2014/10/single-greatest-predictor-future-stock-market-returns/
Short term trend forecasting is based on the 200 day moving average and is only accurate when there is low volatility. Valuation of stocks were visualized by comparison with debt trend-lines. Since the worst declines occurred during recessions, this app uses unemployment claims data to give early warning of recession.
The sim portfolio shows how this strategy would have out-performed the stock market over the past 35 years.
This app was not designed for day-traders, but it was optimized to warn of long-term declines that last for more than three months and may continue for years. This app is for informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as advice to buy or sell securities.
Personally, I use this app to buy stocks when S&P 500 is below the current expected value or future expected value. On November 1, 2019 , the S&P 500 price was nearly equal to the current expected value (according to this app). This explains why Warren Buffet's company couldn't find any bargains in 2018 and had a record amount of cash in 2019, waiting for a dip in the stock market.
You can uninstall this app if you don't understand it, but please don't give a bad review if you don't understand it. If you need more explanation of how it works, you can send me an email at alphabry1@gmail.com.
